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为验证条件植被温度指数(VTCI)在夏玉米生长季干旱预测中的适用性,以河北中部平原为研究区,应用求和自回归移动平均(ARIMA)模型及季节性求和自回归移动平均(SARIMA)模型,对该地区VTCI时间序列数据进行分析建模预测。首先基于49个气象站点所在像素的VTCI时间序列数据,选取不同长度时间序列建立ARIMA模型,并分析时间序列长度与预测精度间关系,以期为时间序列长度选择提供依据;然后选择理想长度的VTCI时间序列数据,分别建立ARIMA模型和SARIMA模型,用于研究区域2017年夏玉米生长季VTCI预测,并分析评价两模型预测精度;最后采用性能较好的ARIMA模型逐像素建模预测,得到2016-2018年9月上旬至下旬VTCI预测结果。结果表明:基于ARIMA模型的VTCI预测精度与时间序列长度未呈现明显的相关关系,但随时间序列长度增加,模型预测精度逐渐趋于稳定;ARIMA模型对干旱的预测精度高于基于SARIMA模型,其1步、2步、3步VTCI预测结果均方根误差较SARIMA模型分别降低0. 06、0. 07、0. 09;ARIMA模型在不同年份夏玉米生长季VTCI1~3步的预测精度稳定性较好,2016-2018年1步、2步和3步VTCI预测结果绝对误差绝对值大于0. 20的像素平均百分比分别为5. 84%、6. 38%、8. 72%。  相似文献   
13.
Infrared thermography is a non-invasive technique which allows to distinguish between pregnant and non-pregnant animals. Detecting accurate body surface temperatures can be challenging due to external factors altering thermograph measurements. This study aimed to determine the associations between the ambient temperature, the hair coat features and the temperatures of mares' abdomens. It compared pregnant and non-pregnant mares throughout 11 months. The research was carried out on 40 Konik Polski mares, which were divided into pregnant and non-pregnant groups. The temperature (Tmax, maximal; Taver, average; Tmin, minimal) of the mares' abdomen was evaluated in two regions of interest: the whole area of the lateral surface of the mares' abdomen (Px1) and the flank area of the lateral surface of mares' abdomen (Px2). During the increasing period, the slopes in the linear regression equation did not differ significantly for ambient (Tamb) and surface temperatures in both groups. In the decreasing period, the slopes did not differ significantly for Tamb and Tmax in the non-pregnant group. They also did not differ for Tamb and Taver in Px1 and Tamb and Tmin in Px1 in both pregnant and non-pregnant groups respectively. Other slopes varied significantly (p < .001). There was no evidence of parallel changes in hair coat features and measured temperatures. The flank area appears more suitable for thermal imaging in pregnant mares due to the seasonal fluctuations in hair coat lengths.  相似文献   
14.
试验旨在检测5-羟色胺-N-乙酰基转移酶(AANAT)基因在绵羊休情季节和繁殖季节(卵泡期和黄体期)卵巢组织中的转录差异,并分析转录差异是否由DNA甲基化修饰程度改变所导致。试验采用自然环境条件和饲养管理一致,且体重差异在0.5 kg范围内的空怀母滩羊作为试验动物,采集其休情期、卵泡期和黄体期(每个时期3只)的卵巢组织,采用SYBR染料法进行实时荧光定量PCR检测AANAT基因在滩羊不同繁殖时期卵巢组织中的转录水平。随后针对转录水平有差异的两个时期(休情期和卵泡期)的样本,利用MethPrimer 2.0在线软件预测AANAT基因启动子区和第一外显子区的CpG岛;用重亚硫酸盐测序法(BSP法)检测AANAT基因启动子区及第一外显子区的甲基化程度。试验结果显示,滩羊休情期卵巢组织中AANAT基因转录水平显著低于卵泡期的AANAT基因转录水平(P<0.05),休情期与黄体期滩羊卵巢组织中AANAT基因的转录水平差异不显著(P>0.05)。滩羊卵巢组织中AANAT基因启动子区上存在着一个长度为173 bp的CpG岛,第一外显子区存在着一个长度为118 bp的CG岛。然而,两个甲基化岛区内的单个CpG位点甲基化程度在滩羊休情期和卵泡期之间均不存在显著差异,暗示AANAT基因的表达受甲基化修饰外的因素调控。本研究结果可为进一步探讨AANAT基因在季节性发情和卵泡成熟中的功能提供参考资料。  相似文献   
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16.
不同草地处理措施对植被和土壤会产生重要的影响。为探究不同草地处理措施对草甸草地的影响,以科尔沁草甸草地不同点为研究对象,设置围封(UNM)、围封+刈割(M)、围封+火烧(F)、放牧(G)4种处理,针对生长季土壤脲酶(S-UE)、碱性磷酸酶(S-AKP)、蔗糖酶(S-SC)活性和植被特征等开展研究,以探究草甸草地的最佳处理方式。结果显示:1)土壤酶活性随着土层深度的增加而降低,不同处理间的差异随着土层深度增加逐渐降低。2)放牧较围封处理,不同点植被高度、盖度、地上生物量和酶活性均降低,而丰富度指数增加。3)刈割较围封处理,不同功能群物种的补偿能力不同,禾本科的补偿能力大于菊科。4)火烧较围封处理,不同点植被高度、盖度、地上生物量、丰富度指数和3种水解酶活性均增加。5)多年刈割较放牧处理,植被高度、盖度和地上生物量和蔗糖酶、碱性磷酸酶活性均增加,丰富度指数和土壤脲酶活性均降低。综上所述,控制性火烧是半干旱地区草甸草地的最佳处理方式。  相似文献   
17.
This is the first morpho-histological comparison of guanaco ovaries between reproductive (long-days) and non-reproductive (short-days) seasons, and oestrogen receptor-alpha (ERα) and beta (ERβ) detection. Different stages of follicle development were found in the cortical area, but no corpus luteum was detected. The size and frequency of antral follicles and large atretic follicles were higher in long-day ovaries than short-days, consistent with ovarian activity in this season. Differential expression of ERα and ERβ was observed in follicles at different stages of development between short and long days. These data reveal histological and molecular differences between reproductive and non-reproductive seasons of guanaco ovaries.  相似文献   
18.
实行季节性梯度农用水价对农业节水的有效性研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
从价格调控对农业用水资源的配置作用出发,分析了目前农业节水中的水价问题,得出农用水将普遍收费的必然趋势。重点提出了季节性梯度农用水价的概念并对其含义进行了深入说明。最后通过在“冬小麦节水高产省肥简化‘四统一’栽培技术体系”中的实例研究,认为季节性梯度农用水价对农业节约用水是可行的。  相似文献   
19.
Analysis of in vivo shoot nitrate reductase activity (NRA) of the grass Deschampsia flexuosa (L.) Trin. has been proposed as a method of indicating the availability of nitrate in northern temperate forest soils. We report the seasonal variation in NRA and the influence of temperature on the NRA assay. Studies were performed in the field or on natural populations on topsoil monoliths in a greenhouse.

The induced in vivo NRA as measured at 28°C was higher in plants grown at lower than at higher temperatures within the range 4–20°C, although the induction was faster at higher temperatures. When the assay was performed at various temperatures, enzyme activity was much lower at lower temperatures. The accumulation of organic nitrogen in shoots showed that reduction actually increased with temperature. Transfer of monoliths from high to low temperature led to an increase of in vivo NRA within a day, whereas the decline caused by the reverse began after six days. Variations in temperature accounted for between 0 and 80% of the seasonal variation in NRA in the field, depending on the influence of the variability in nitrate supply.

Maximally induced NRA after application of nitrate was mostly higher in a clearfelling than in a closed forest. In the forest, there was a close correlation between current and maximally induced NRA. One interpretation of this result is that low availability of nitrogen may have been a cause of the lower maximally induced NRA there. This is supported by results from other studies.

We conclude that variations in temperature and availability of nitrogen, particularly nitrate, are largely responsible for seasonal variations in NRA. The influence of temperature can be adjusted for.  相似文献   
20.
Abstract

Seasonal variations in physicochemical and textural properties of minced cod muscle from Icelandic coastal areas were evaluated. Measurements were performed on mince from the white muscle. Compared to the winter and summer values, hardness and cohesiveness, as measured by Instron, showed a drop in March to May and another drop was observed for cohesiveness during the autumn months. Expressible moisture changed slightly from March to August whereas results from the winter months indicate greater fluctuations. A minimum was observed for protein solubility in March and July. The surface hydrophobicity of proteins, increased gradually from November to May followed by a sudden drop, then a gradual increase again.  相似文献   
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